Wind AlliesTier 2
at Ascent Seattle
decks
8
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
76
43-32-1
overall winrate
57.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.2%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
52.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1351
· median 1362
· range 1195–1480
(8 pilots with an ELO rating)
959
Q1 1212
Q3 1427
1750
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
12% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.8% | 22 | 9-13-0 | 40.9% | 42.3% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 41.2% | -5.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.6% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 69.7% | +12.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.6% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.2% | +7.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.4% | +13.8 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +7.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.4% | -7.2 |
| Fire Exia | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.6 |
| Water Allies | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 81.4% | +30.1 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.1% | +13.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.2% | -6.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.1 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Water Seiryuu | 1.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 82.3% | +24.1 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.4% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 41.4% | -6.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Tamer | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Allen | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Triskit | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.8 |
| Water Diana | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diao Chan | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +5.5 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane Rai | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.2% | +15.5 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
